Growing dominance of private labels angers consumers

As their presence grows at the expense of brands, consumer backlash against supermarkets’ private label lines has intensified according to a report from research agency TNS.

With retailers deleting branded products from their range to make way for more private label goods, dislike of how they’re ‘dominating the supermarket’ grew from 24% to 34% over the past 3 years, the survey of 1,600 grocery buyers found.

Commercial director at TNS, Jonathan Sinton, says there is a growing conflict between consumer needs and supermarket strategies.

“Consumers want private label brands but not at the expense of the brands they’ve always bought which is where we’re seeing the backlash come from,” Sinton says.

However, the backlash is brewing not only among consumers, but among brand manufacturers also. In November, the Sydney Morning Herald reported Heinz had been forced to shut a factory and downsize two others as Coles and Woolworths squeezed its products off their shelves with their private label lines.

William Johnson, executive chairman, CEO and president of Heinz told the SMH: ”The reality on Australia [is that it has] almost come to the point that it’s … immaterial to us going forward because it has taken such a hit. We are confronting a combination of weak categories, relentless promotional pressure and growing private labels, as well as executional issues.”

In the same month Johnson made his comments, Woolworths announced that it would aim to double private label sales.

According to Nielsen’s ‘Private Label Report 2011′, private label products currently make up a quarter of all supermarket sales and are forecast to exceed 40% of grocery spending by 2015.

The report warns that Australia is following Europe’s lead where private label sales account for up to 46% in some countries.

The quarterly average spend per buyer on private label goods is $202.24, an increase of $10.84 since 2009. Private label now accounts for $1 in every $4 spent on grocery products and almost one-third of packaged grocery units sold.

Price sensitive groups, such as families with children and senior couples, are the most common private label buyers.

But according to TNS’ report, it is not just the budget conscious who continue to fuel the growth of private label. Even those who are not under financial pressures are buying up big, purchasing private label goods at an almost identical rate to those who are budget conscious.

Sinton says the ability of private label brands to capture share comes down to three factors: how closely the products replicate performance, the equity the original branded product has generated previously and the price differential between the two.

“People will always buy the original if there’s not much of a price differential,” Sinton says. “But if there’s no perceived difference or discernible benefit, people are happy to switch to the cheaper products no matter what their budget is.”

Out of the private label brands that consumers currently buy, Woolworths Select leads the charge followed by Coles Brand, Homebrand, Woolworths Fresh and Aldi brands.

 

Nielsen’s report points out that there are different perceptions and levels of acceptance of private label across different categories. For categories with low importance and discernible difference, such as milk and household cleaners, private label is high on the list, whereas in personal care categories, such as vitamins and baby products, consumers display a reluctance towards private label.

Both research agencies suggests a number of strategies for brands to hold off private label’s growth, including innovation and differentiation through aspects of variety, ingredients, quality, format and packaging, and focussing on brand by using emotion and nostalgia to build equity.

The table below shows TNS data on consumer attitudes towards private label products:

Study reveals consumer climate in emerging markets

While Brazilians are big spenders, the Chinese are saving, Indians are study geeks and the Russians are on a downer, brands are looking at exponential growth in emerging markets over the next few years as consumers look to ‘trade up’ in these nations.

In a look at current consumer behaviour in key emerging markets, Credit Suisse and ACNielsen interviewed 14,000 consumers across eight countries. The study found that while consumer confidence was down among this group overall, behaviour varied greatly by country and brands should not take a one size fits all approach when moving into the emerging world.

However, as wealth grows, one thing these markets are expected to have in common is a trading up from unbranded to branded products, a trend that will benefit overseas brands which are seen as pre-eminent and something to aspire to.

The mix of local and international brands varies by category, with local brands still holding sway in dairy and personal products categories, Credit Suisse says.

“As incomes continue to improve international brands offer greater growth potential than their local peers in the discretionary space,” the report says. “However, the growth outlook for local brands should be at least as good as international brands for essential goods and services.”

The report identifies three key opportunities for international brands. One of these is capitalising on the trading up trend, while the others are scope for merger and acquisition in categories where local brands dominate and opportunities to invest in local brands poised for growth.

 

The 2012 study gives insight into the current climate in eight emerging markets as well as stock recommendations for these countries:

Brazil: The Brazilian consumer stands out as the most optimistic across the survey, with one of the highest rates of income growth among the countries surveyed. Given a consumer that typically spends rather than saveing (barely 7% of income is registered as saved), it remains a market for momentum in discretionary spending (smartphones, technology, personal care). Key stock recommendations: AmBev, Brasil Foods, Natura, Diagnósticos da América,PDG, Multiplus, MercadoLibre, Procter & Gamble, Diageo, Yakult.

China: The outlook for the Chinese consumer is robust though expectations have softened in the last 12 months and optimism is lower than in Brazil and India. The strength of technology spending is a clear bull theme while a prioritisation of healthcare and education also stand out. Key stock recommendations: China Modern Dairy, Belle, 7 Days, BMW, Swatch, Wynn, Tencent.

Egypt: Optimism in Egypt is the lowest in the survey accompanied by low spending levels. The key is finding the stability and means to unlock it. At present, and politics aside, ongoing real declines in income do not provide long term opportunities. No stock recommendations.

India: Indians are confident in their future personal finances and spending in most consumer categories, particularly low ticket. There is an appetite for extra investment in education and technology spending as internet penetration continues to grow from a low base. Key stock recommendations: Educomp, HDFC Bank, Hero, Sun Pharma, Prudential.

Indonesia: The Indonesian consumer displays strong structural growth potential and high optimism. There is considerable potential to unlock under-penetrated markets such as automobiles (cars and motorbikes) and technology. Key stock recommendations: Mitra Adiperkasa, Indofood CBP, XL Axiata, Daihatsu, BATs.

Russia: “The weakest BRIC in the wall,” Russia has the lowest optimism of the group. The simple explanation stems from poor income growth but it seems unlikely that this lid on optimism will be removed easily. The outlook for growth may be better in high ticket items due to the severe income inequality and under-penetration of luxury goods and technology. Key stock recommendations: Magnit, Sberbank, Synergy, Philip Morris, Crown, JTI.

Saudi Arabia: The government’s spending plans and policy announcements have been highly supportive of confidence. Spending outlooks should remain discretionary focused (smartphones, computers, property and cars). Key stock recommendations: Almarai, Etihad Etisalat, Yum! Brands, Nokia, BMW, Apple.

Turkey: Turkish consumers are feeling the squeeze, with week consumer confidence. Food and housing costs are squeezing out discretionary spending and leaving limited funds for saving. With the outlook for real incomes still questionable, this does not look a market for high ticket spending. Key stock recommendations: Efes, Arcelik, Tofas, Reckitt-Benckiser.