Forrester: Social media ‘barely negligible’ as a sales lead

Social media has a “barely negligible” impact on sales for online retailers, according to a study conducted in the US by Forrester.

The analyst firm’s ‘Purchase Path Of Online Buyers’ report, which tracked 77,000 purchases to identify the most fruitful sources of sales, found that only 1% of sales came from links placed in social media.

The value in social media is more in its slow burn effect, the report’s author, senior analyst Sucharita Mulpuru, writes: “While the hype around social networks as a driver of influence in ecommerce continues to capture the attention of online executives, the truth is that social continues to struggle and registers as a barely negligible source of sales for either new or repeat buyers.

“The reality is that even the most popular social image-sharing sites (like Pinterest) have failed to move the needle with respect to sales for most retail sites.”

Social media and other ‘top-of-the-funnel’ methods, such as display advertising, are more likely to play a role in the influence chain when it involves multiple touchpoints, which Forrester estimates occurs for 33% of transactions from new customers and 48% of the time for repeat customers.

As a direct source of sales, web marketing mainstays of search and email continue to be the most fruitful despite changes to the interactive marketing landscape and the growing number of shoppers, the report says.

For new customers, the most common single source of sales were direct visits at 20%, organic search at 16% and paid search at 11%. For repeat customers, direct visits at 20%, email at 13% and organic search at 6% brought in the most sales in a single touchpoint interaction. In multiple touchpoint transactions, they remained the most influential with the addition of display ads.

social media forrester

Mulpuru recommends perfecting email marketing techniques, a continual focus on search engine marketing, caution in overestimating the impact of social media and actively promoting simple URLs across a range of channels in order to play to today’s online influence model.

 

The integration of search and display

I have always felt that search marketing and performance display were fraternal twins; that is, not identical, but definitely sharing the same DNA.

Think about it: both are built on cost per click (CPC) and cost per action (CPA) pricing models. They require constant testing and optimisation. And they are definitely direct response focused.

It was only a matter of time before both channels were recognised as such, and integration took place.

There are three technologies in particular I want to highlight, which have been successful in integrating search and display. In doing so, they have opened up many new possibilities.

1. Paid search video ads

Google Adwords and Yahoo Search Marketing have released a new type of paid search ad.

They are called Google Video Extensions and Yahoo Rich Ads in Search, and allow advertisers to integrate video content within their standard text ads.

 

The importance of this integration is two-fold:

  • Consumers are empowered with richer information about the product they are viewing, and
  • Advertisers can build their brand awareness as they drive direct response.

The last point is especially important for industries that have traditionally not invested significant ad dollars into paid search. For example, the FMCG industry is well known for its light adoption of search marketing. With video ads, they can now satisfy their brand awareness-building requirements while driving traffic to their product websites.

Google Video Extensions are in limited beta mode and not currently available in Australia. However Yahoo Rich Ads are currently live in Australia, and have already received significant interest from advertisers.

2. Cross-channel, multi-click conversion attribution

We know that consumers don’t usually convert into a lead or sale after just one click. A more likely scenario involves a consumer searching, viewing, and clicking on several ads, often over the course of days or weeks, before they convert.

The ability to track and de-dupe conversions across channels (so you are not paying twice for the same conversion) is powerful, and currently available through advanced analytics platforms, like Omniture or Site Intelligence.

The problem with last click attribution

The problem lies in the conversion rate disparity between search and performance display. Compared to display, search almost always converts at a higher rate, and very often captures the last click. So paid search often takes the credit for the sale – even though display had generated an earlier click in the consumer’s journey.

Because of the last click attribution model – which is the standard in our industry – investment in performance display is usually just a fraction of search, which prevents full integration and synergy of channels from taking place.

Multi-click conversion attribution

There is a new technology that is solving the issues associated with last click attribution. It is allowing marketers to track all clicks across multiple channels, and recognise their collective contribution to the conversion. This technology is called multi-click conversion attribution.

Multi-click conversion attribution captures all of a consumer’s clicks within all channels, which took place before a consumer converted into a lead or sale. The technology then assigns a % conversion credit to each of the clicks and channels.

This is equivalent to giving a % goal credit to each player in a football team, for passing the ball around until a goal takes place.

Interestingly, the multi-click attribution model always takes a chunk of credit away from the last click (as it should), and distributes that credit among the rest of the clicks that contributed to the conversion.

Multi-click conversion attribution has profound implications for marketers investing in search and performance display. It allows marketers to:

  1. ‘See’ each click and channel, and how they interact.
  2. Determine performance display’s true contribution to producing conversions (instead of missing out on the last click which is often captured by paid search), and
  3. Identify the true CPA of paid search and performance display.

What is the biggest benefit to marketers? Once true CPA is identified, re-allocation of channel budget can occur with full confidence. This drives incremental sales while saving money (less wastage on poorly performing keywords, banners or sites).

3. Demand side platforms

Demand side platforms (DSPs) are a technological innovation in the field of performance display. Although currently not available in Australia, they are quickly becoming mainstream in the US.

DSPs are technology tools that aggregate the inventory of multiple publishers and ad networks, and then allow advertisers to bid on this inventory in real-time. What’s more, this real-time bidding is done on a per impression basis.

The parallels to paid search are clear. And it is these parallels that have fuelled even further technological innovation.

Several SEM bid management and optimisation platforms (i.e. technology platforms that bid exclusively on paid search), have recognised the efficiency and business potential in integrating DSP within their own SEM platforms.

Examples of leading SEM technology firms that have integrated DSPs within their own platform include SearchIgnite and Efficient Frontier.

What does this mean? Well, it appears that within the next 12–24 months in Australia, marketers will be able to bid on paid search and performance display, in real-time, per impression, all within the same dashboard. This is a compelling proposition if you are trying to maximise performance, efficiency and integration across both channels.

Final thought

The technologies mentioned above represent the next-generation approach to integrating paid search and performance display. And while they might not yet be widely used or understood in Australia, their growth in the US and UK are certain to make them mainstream in the near future.

Marketers who recognise this and take steps to prepare themselves, will be in a superior position when that moment arrives.

An event review of SMX Sydney

As many people are aware, Barry Smyth and his team from Search Strategies recently held the annual Search Marketing Expo in Sydney.

This was one of the first events I had attended since the economy really started to take affect on marketing/advertising agencies and Im really glad I did as there was lots to take away. For those who missed out, Ive summarised the take-home messages from each day below.

Day one

The keynote speech was presented by Rand Fishkin of SEOmoz, which I was running late for so I ended up checking out of the exhibition hall as it is sometimes better to have a good look around while things are quite.

This conference was smaller than some of the international versions but this presented an advantage in that it was easier to choose just between the two streams. The first stream focused around Search Engine Bootcamp with a mostly entry-level focus, but it was also suitable for a refresher course for most attendees. The other obvious advantage was the access to the international speakers and the opportunity to have a decent talk with the presenters.

Bootcamp sessions

The morning was a great refresher around web design and SEO basics presented by industry veteran Bruce Clay. After the lunch break, the sessions moved into keyword research, link building and copy writing for search. The final session around Bootcamp moved towards the paid elements of search on the topics of ad copy, management and landing pages.

SEO sessions

The second stream was more involved and focused around moderate/advanced SEO techniques. As SMX does very well, they start of the day easier and as the audience warms up and the caffeine kicks in the topics tougher.

The early morning sessions dealt with key areas of maps/local search and what’s in store for mobile search and video optimisation. I have already written a post based around the topic of video optimisation and viral video. After the lunch break, the sessions moved into more advanced topics around best practice links and URLs. It seems that spam is still a secondary issue to getting number one in search results for many clients who typically engage a SEO agency.

The last sessions of the day covered CSS, flash, bots and international SEO. These topics were great as it dealt with best practice techniques for business while still getting the results for your business. CSS seems to be one of the best ways to control visual elements within a website and offers increased levels of usability for existing websites without rebuilding the whole site. International SEO was provided a number of ideas about how your multinational competitors might be trying to steal your local market share and how you can fight back by growing yours.

Day two

The opening keynote speech was presented in a very entertaining manner by Bill Tancer the GM of Global Research for Hitwise. He talked about how Australian users typically use Google for more navigational queries and how your parents maybe searching differently for the same site. He advised that many of the topics he discussed were featured in more detail in his book Click: What Millions of People Are Doing Online and Why it Matters. It would appear that many of the important key points covered at SMX Sydney were consistent over time just the leading players changed.

The streams topics were more diverse on the second day as with most SMX events there were more intermediate/advanced sessions. The sessions covered a number of diverse topics: SME, conversion, social media, paid search and webmasters.

Conversion session

SME presented a number of great hints and tips for working with SMEs and also how they have different needs, budgets and goals. The co-current stream was focused around conversion tracking leads/sales and conversion optimisation increased ROI. This was one of the most important session for businesses as it dealt with decreased market share and how you can still grow your business in this environment.

Social media session

The social media stream presented some heated discussions and divided the audience and presenters on a few points. What is suitable for one companies objective using social media may not be suitable for another.

While the topic of social media, Twitter and online negative sentiment was yet to receive any coverage over branding issues such as Amazon Fail. The conference hall was also filled with laptops running Twitter clients such as TweetDeck.

Paid search session

This stream was covered by Mark Tull from Hot Goanna on how not understanding AdWords quality score can mean business is over bidding on AdWords keywords.

The final paid search sessions dealt with larger corporate/enterprise clients who typically require complex bid management systems to deal with tens of thousands of keywords. While not everyone finds these solutions useful, some organisations find PPC Management systems a comfort factor.

Spam session

This stream focused around helping your webmaster deal with spam and how to deal with being penalised (blacklisted) by search engines. It was a good discussion with the panel highlighting that many clients expect results even if it means breaking rules imposed by search engines.

Conference overview

Overall the conference was great, it was smaller than most but the speakers invited took time to speak with attendees. Most of the panel members had to be almost dragged off the stage because they were so involved in answering and engaging with the audience. The team at Search Strategies made a good selection in speakers and it was rare to hear anyone disappointed with any session.

Exhibition room

The exhibition room was a little crowded at times, so it made sense to visit companies for more private chats during the sessions. One of the bigger disappointments was that no search engine companies were present at the conference. While they had sent representatives for presentations sessions it wasn’t the same as if they had an exhibition stand where they could answer questions and build relationships with business.

Weekly Podcast: An interview with Jenny Williams, Idea Garden

Podcast

Marketingmag.com.au has teamed up with the guys at Love Digital to bring you this weekly podcast on all things digital.

In this weeks show:

  • News in 90: A round-up of a couple of recent digital stories with Gary Jaffer
  • Interview: we talk to Jenny Williams, Idea Garden: why have some marketers been slow on the uptake of digital?
  • Simon Says: Three top digital tips about optimising your paid search from Simon Small, FNUKY
  • Top & Flop: Gary Jaffer, OMD looks at two recent examples of advertising and marketing, one that worked and one that didnt


What do you think?

  • What is happening about digital radio in Australia? Have they missed the boat?
  • What other advice do you have for optimising your paid search?